02028nas a2200169   4500008004100000022001400041245007600055210006900131260001600200520142000216100001901636700002601655700001801681700002301699700002601722856011001748       2022                        eng d  a1606-974900aWater-food-energy nexus for transboundary cooperation in Eastern Africa0 aWaterfoodenergy nexus for transboundary cooperation in Eastern A  cMar-01-20223 aEstablishing cooperation in transboundary rivers is challenging especially with the weak or non-existent river basin institutions. A nexus-based approach is developed to explore cooperation opportunities in transboundary river basins while considering system operation and coordination under uncertain hydrologic river regimes. The proposed approach is applied to the Nile river basin with a special focus on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), assuming two possible governance positions: with or without cooperation. A cooperation mechanism is developed to allocate additional releases from the GERD when necessary, while a unilateral position assumes that the GERD is operated to maximize hydropower generation regardless of downstream users' needs. The GERD operation modes were analysed considering operation of downstream reservoirs and varying demands in Egypt. Results show that average basin-wide hydropower generation is likely to increase by about 547 GWh/year (1%) if cooperation is adopted when compared to the unilateral position. In Sudan, hydropower generation and water supply are expected to enhance in the unilateral position and would improve further with cooperation. Furthermore, elevated low flows by the GERD are likely to improve the WFE nexus outcomes in Egypt under full cooperation governance scenario with a small reduction in GERD hydropower generation (2,000 GWh/year (19%)).
1 aElsayed, Hamdy1 aDjordjević, Slobodan1 aSavic, Dragan1 aTsoukalas, Ioannis1 aMakropoulos, Christos  uhttps://iwaponline.com/ws/article/doi/10.2166/ws.2022.001/86211/Water-food-energy-nexus-for-transboundary02741nas a2200193   4500008004100000022001400041245010300055210006900158260001600227300001300243490000800256520202700264100001902291700002602310700002302336700002302359700002602382856013902408       2020                        eng d  a0733-949600aThe Nile Water-Food-Energy Nexus under Uncertainty: Impacts of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam0 aNile WaterFoodEnergy Nexus under Uncertainty Impacts of the Gran  cJan-11-2020  a040200850 v1463 a<p>Achieving a water, food, and energy (WFE) nexus balance through policy interventions is challenging in a transboundary river basin because of the dynamic nature and intersectoral complexity that may cross borders. The Nile basin is shared by a number of riparian countries and is currently experiencing rapid population and economic growth. This has sparked new developments to meet the growing water, food, and energy demands, alleviate poverty, and improve the livelihood in the basin. Such developments could result in basinwide cooperation or trigger conflicts among the riparian countries. A system dynamics model was developed for the entire Nile basin and integrated with the food and energy sectors in Egypt to investigate the future of the WFE nexus with and without the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) during filling and subsequent operation using basinwide stochastically generated flows. Different filling rates from 10% to 100% of the average monthly flow are considered during the filling process. Results suggest that the GERD filling and operation would affect the WFE nexus in Egypt, with the impact likely to be significant if the filling process occurred during a dry period. Food production from irrigated agriculture would be reduced by 9%&ndash;19% during filling and by about 4% during GERD operation compared with the case without it. The irrigation water supply and hydropower generation in Sudan will be reduced during the filling phase of the GERD, but this is expected to be improved during the dam operation phase as a result of the regulation afforded by the GERD. Ethiopian hydropower generation is expected to be boosted by the GERD during the filling and operation of the dam, adding an average of 15,000&thinsp;&thinsp;GWh/year15,000&thinsp;&thinsp;GWh/year once GERD comes online. Lastly, the results reveal the urgency of cooperation and coordination among the riparian countries to minimize the regional risks and maximize the regional rewards associated with the GERD.</p>
1 aElsayed, Hamdy1 aDjordjević, Slobodan1 aSavić, Dragan, A.1 aTsoukalas, Ioannis1 aMakropoulos, Christos  uhttp://ascelibrary.org/doi/10.1061/%28ASCE%29WR.1943-5452.0001285http://ascelibrary.org/doi/pdf/10.1061/%28ASCE%29WR.1943-5452.000128502293nas a2200169   4500008004100000245013100041210006900172260001600241300001100257490000700268520152300275100002001798700002801818700003001846700002401876856022301900       2019                        eng d00aLand Use Guidelines to Maintain Habitat Diversity of Wood- Pastures in the Southern Carpathians Under Projected Climate Change0 aLand Use Guidelines to Maintain Habitat Diversity of Wood Pastur  cOct-09-2019  a1 - 240 v743 a<p>The biodiversity of wood-pastures depends on a balance between human interference and natural vegetation succession, which however is undergoing changes driven by socio-economic factors and climate change. Widely spread throughout Europe, wood-pastures were subject to either intensification or abandonment, leading to habitat segregation and loss. This is currently the fate of large Romanian remnant woodpastures and climate warming further complicates management adaptation.<br />
In a series of simulation experiments, we compared the long-term effects of different land use and climate change scenarios on the habitat diversity of a wood-pasture in the Southern Carpathians (Fundata village, Romania). We tested livestock densities according to management guidelines, complemented with shrub-cutting in order to maintain a structurally-diverse landscape with high habitat values in the light of climate change. We found that significant losses of open pastureland and inclusion into forest, as well as landscape structural simplification and loss of complex habitats can be expected from climate warming, with more severe consequences in a hotter climate perspective. We arguefor the re-establishment of the traditional multi-use of wood-pastures at optimum livestock densities in combination with low-intensity shrubcutting, because our study demonstrated that traditional practices offer a balanced compromise between agricultural use and maintaining habitat mosaics that are robust to climate change.</p>
1 aStoicescu, Iona1 aPătru-Stupariu, Ileana1 aHossu, Constantina, Alina1 aPeringer, Alexander  uhttps://www.landscape-online.org/index.php/lo/article/view/LO.201974https://www.landscape-online.org/index.php/lo/article/download/LO.201974/87https://www.landscape-online.org/index.php/lo/article/download/LO.201974/8700630nas a2200181   4500008004100000022001300041245014500054210006900199260001600268300001400284490000800298100002200306700002200328700002100350700002100371700002000392856003600412       2019                        eng d  a0959652600aMussels or tunicates: That is the question. Evaluating efficient and sustainable resource use by low-trophic species in aquaculture settings0 aMussels or tunicates That is the question Evaluating efficient a  cJan-09-2019  a132 - 1430 v2311 aFilgueira, Ramón1 aStrople, Leah, C.1 aStrohmeier, Tore1 aRastrick, Samuel1 aStrand, Øivind  u//www.simulistics.com/node/439000937nas a2200205   4500008004100000022001400041245014800055210006900203260001600272300001600288490000800304100002200312700002200334700002300356700001900379700002200398700002900420700002300449856025900472       2018                        eng d  a0378-190900aThe effect of environmental conditions on Atlantic salmon smolts’ (Salmo salar) bioenergetic requirements and migration through an inland sea0 aeffect of environmental conditions on Atlantic salmon smolts Sal  cJan-10-2018  a1467 - 14820 v1011 aStrople, Leah, C.1 aFilgueira, Ramón1 aHatcher, Bruce, G.1 aDenny, Shelley1 aBordeleau, Xavier1 aWhoriskey, Frederick, G.1 aCrossin, Glenn, T.  uhttp://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10641-018-0792-5http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10641-018-0792-5.pdfhttp://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10641-018-0792-5/fulltext.htmlhttp://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10641-018-0792-5.pdf02755nas a2200169   4500008004100000022001300041245010700054210006900161260001600230300001200246490000800258520218000266100002802446700002002474700002402494856006702518       2018                        eng d  a0304380000aIntermediate foraging large herbivores maintain semi-open habitats in wilderness landscape simulations0 aIntermediate foraging large herbivores maintain semiopen habitat  cJan-07-2018  a10 - 210 v3793 a<p>In the context of the rewilding Europe debate, the German national strategy on biodiversity aims to dedicate two percent of the German state area to wilderness development until 2020. Many of these potential large wilderness reserves harbor open habitats that require protection according to the Flora-Fauna-Habitat-directive of the European Union. As forests prevail in potential natural vegetation, research is required, to which extent wild large herbivores and natural disturbances may create semi-open landscape patterns in the long-term. We used the spatially explicit process-based model of pasture-woodland ecosystem dynamics WoodPaM, to analyze the long-term interactions between intermediate foraging large wild herbivores and vegetation dynamics in edaphically heterogeneous forest-grassland mosaic landscapes. We newly implemented a routine for intermediate foraging herbivores. We determined herbivore impact on vegetation from the quantitative balance between the demand and supply of herbaceous forage and woody browse. In abstract landscapes that represent the conditions in the established German wilderness area &quot;D&ouml;beritzer Heide&quot;, we simulated potential future landscape dynamics on open land, in forest and along forest edges with and without intermediate foraging large herbivores and for a climate change scenario. In our simulations the currently open landscape was conserved and even more the opening of current oak and beech forest was promoted. Canopy thinning and patch-mosaics of oak, birch, poplar and pine stands increased the overall nature conservation value in the long-term. To the contrary, open habitats were lost in simulations without herbivores. Moreover, our simulations suggested that intermediate foraging herbivores are especially suitable to maintain semi-open landscapes in wilderness areas, because (i) no additional winter forage was required, the natural availability of browse was sufficient. (ii) Their grazing maintained open land and their browsing thinned tree canopies even on poor sites that were unattractive for foraging. Here, habitat was maintained for threatened species from dry grasslands.</p>
1 aSchulze, Kiowa, Alraune1 aRosenthal, Gert1 aPeringer, Alexander  uhttps://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S030438001830113302843nas a2200217   4500008004100000022001300041245010100054210006900155260001600224300001400240490000800254520196400262100001902226700002402245700002602269700002802295700002302323700002002346700002602366856023302392       2018                        eng d  a0048969700aShifts in wind energy potential following land-use driven vegetation dynamics in complex terrain0 aShifts in wind energy potential following landuse driven vegetat  cJan-10-2018  a374 - 3840 v6393 a<p>Many mountainous regions with high wind energy potential are characterized by multi-scale variabilities of vegetation in both spatial and time dimensions, which strongly affect the spatial distribution of wind resource and its time evolution. To this end, we developed a coupled interdisciplinary modeling framework capable of assessing the shifts in wind energy potential following land-use driven vegetation dynamics in complex mountain terrain. It was applied to a case study area in the Romanian Carpathians. The results show that the overall shifts in wind energy potential following the changes of vegetation pattern due to different land-use policies can be dramatic. This suggests that the planning of wind energy project should be integrated with the land-use planning at a specific site to ensure that the expected energy production of the planned wind farm can be reached over its entire lifetime. Moreover, the changes in the spatial distribution of wind and turbulence under different scenarios of land-use are complex, and they must be taken into account in the micro-siting of wind turbines to maximize wind energy production and minimize fatigue loads (and associated maintenance costs). The proposed new modeling framework offers, for the first time, a powerful tool for assessing long-term variability in local wind energy potential that emerges from land-use change driven vegetation dynamics over complex terrain. Following a previously unexplored pathway of cause-effect relationships, it demonstrates a new linkage of agro- and forest policies in landscape development with an ultimate trade-off between renewable energy production and biodiversity targets. Moreover, it can be extended to study the potential effects of micro-climatic changes associated with wind farms on vegetation development (growth and patterning), which could in turn have a long-term feedback effect on wind resource distribution in mountainous regions.</p>
1 aFang, Jiannong1 aPeringer, Alexander1 aStupariu, Mihai-Sorin1 aPătru-Stupariu, Ileana1 aButtler, Alexandre1 aGolay, Francois1 aPorté-Agel, Fernando  uhttps://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0048969718317182https://api.elsevier.com/content/article/PII:S0048969718317182?httpAccept=text/xmlhttps://api.elsevier.com/content/article/PII:S0048969718317182?httpAccept=text/plain02835nas a2200217   4500008004100000022001300041245010400054210006900158260001600227300001400243490000800257520195300265100002402218700002302242700002202265700002802287700002302315700002602338700002002364856023302384       2017                        eng d  a0304380000aDisturbance-grazer-vegetation interactions maintain habitat diversity in mountain pasture-woodlands0 aDisturbancegrazervegetation interactions maintain habitat divers  cJan-09-2017  a301 - 3100 v3593 a<p>Low-intensity livestock grazing is a widespread management tool in order to maintain habitat diversity in mountain pasture-woodlands for nature conservation purposes. Historical photographs indicate that forest disturbance significantly contributed to forest-grassland mosaic pattern formation. Disturbance-grazer interactions are however poorly understood and the effects of logging or windthrow are rarely considered in management plans. Moreover, disturbance-grazer interactions are crucial for the maintenance of open habitats in the upcoming &ldquo;rewilding&rdquo; approach of nature conservation. We aimed to understand the effects of forest gap creation by the breakdown of senile trees or by single-tree cutting and of large forest openings by windthrow or logging on mosaic pattern formation in pasture-woodlands that were grazed by cattle and dominated by tree species with distinct regeneration ecology (Picea abies vs. Fagus sylvatica). We used the process-based model of pasture-woodland vegetation dynamics WoodPaM and newly implemented a forest disturbance routine. We simulated disturbance and grazing scenarios in an artificial mountain landscape and analyzed mosaic patterns with landscape metrics. We found that grazing in absence of disturbance promoted simply structured mosaics that were preconditioned by topography. Only large-scale forest disturbance disrupted this pattern and maintained the historical heterogeneous distribution of grassland communities across all habitat conditions (especially species-rich mountain grasslands on poor soil). This prerequisite is stronger in pasture-woodlands where the ecology of the dominant tree species promotes forest-grassland segregation (F. sylvatica in our case) and less in naturally thin-canopy mountain forest close to the tree line (P. abies). In wilderness areas, the very low density of grazers may limit the maintenance of open habitats regardless disturbance.</p>
1 aPeringer, Alexander1 aButtler, Alexandre1 aGillet, François1 aPătru-Stupariu, Ileana1 aSchulze, Kiowa, A.1 aStupariu, Mihai-Sorin1 aRosenthal, Gert  uhttps://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S030438001730100Xhttps://api.elsevier.com/content/article/PII:S030438001730100X?httpAccept=text/xmlhttps://api.elsevier.com/content/article/PII:S030438001730100X?httpAccept=text/plain01701nas a2200169   4500008004100000022001300041245008100054210006900135260001600204300001400220490000700234520098900241100002301230700002201253700002301275856023301298       2017                        eng d  a1364815200aAn integrated model to evaluate water-energy-food nexus at a household scale0 aintegrated model to evaluate waterenergyfood nexus at a househol  cJan-07-2017  a366 - 3800 v933 a<p>To achieve a sustainable supply and effectively manage water, energy and food (WEF) demand, interactions between WEF need to be understood. This study developed an integrated model, capturing the interactions between WEF at end-use level at a household scale. The model is based on a survey of 419 households conducted to investigate WEF over winter and summer for the city of Duhok, Iraq. A bottom-up approach was used to develop this system dynamics-based model. The model estimates WEF demand and the generated organic waste and wastewater quantities. It also investigates the impact of change in user behaviour, diet, income, family size and climate.</p>

<p>The simulation results show a good agreement with the historical data. Using the model, the impact of Global Scenario Group (GSG) scenarios was investigated. The results suggest that the &lsquo;fortress world&rsquo; scenario (an authoritarian response to the threat of breakdown) had the highest impact on WEF.</p>
1 aHussien, Wa'el, A.1 aMemon, Fayyaz, A.1 aSavić, Dragan, A.  uhttps://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S1364815216306594https://api.elsevier.com/content/article/PII:S1364815216306594?httpAccept=text/xmlhttps://api.elsevier.com/content/article/PII:S1364815216306594?httpAccept=text/plain00835nas a2200241   4500008004100000245009200041210006900133260001600202490000600218100001600224700002100240700001800261700001500279700001800294700001500312700001400327700001600341700001900357700001500376700001400391700001500405856017300420       2016                        eng d00aIntermediate tree cover can maximize groundwater recharge in the seasonally dry tropics0 aIntermediate tree cover can maximize groundwater recharge in the  cJan-04-20160 v61 aIlstedt, U.1 aTobella, Bargu?s1 aBazi?, H., R.1 aBayala, J.1 aVerbeeten, E.1 aNyberg, G.1 aSanou, J.1 aBenegas, L.1 aMurdiyarso, D.1 aLaudon, H.1 aSheil, D.1 aMalmer, A.  uhttp://www.nature.com/articles/srep21930http://www.nature.com/articles/srep21930.pdfhttp://www.nature.com/articles/srep21930.pdfhttp://www.nature.com/articles/srep2193002521nas a2200217   4500008004100000022001300041245013700054210006900191260001600260300001200276490000800288520177600296100002402072700002202096700002002118700002102138700002802159700002602187700002302213856006702236       2016                        eng d  a0304380000aLandscape-scale simulation experiments test Romanian and Swiss management guidelines for mountain pasture-woodland habitat diversity0 aLandscapescale simulation experiments test Romanian and Swiss ma  cJan-06-2016  a41 - 490 v3303 a<p>Distinct guidelines have been proposed in Romania and Switzerland for the management of pasture-woodlands that either focused on the regulation of grazing pressure (Romanian production perspective) or overall tree cover (Swiss conservation perspective). However, the landscape structural diversity and the cover of forest-grassland ecotones, which are both crucial for nature conservation value, were not explicitly considered.<br />
<br />
We aimed to compare the country-specific management guidelines regarding their efficiency for the conservation of the structurally diverse forest-grassland mosaics in the light of recent land-use and climate change.<br />
<br />
In strategic simulation experiments using the process-based model of pasture-woodland ecosystems WoodPaM, we analyzed the relationships among drivers for the formation of mosaic patterns (grazing intensity, climate change) and the resulting landscape properties (tree cover, forest-grassland ecotones, mosaic structure) during the past until today (2000 AD).<br />
<br />
The results showed that tree canopy densification following recent climate warming is likely to trigger landscape structural shifts. Medium grazing pressure promoted the development of the full range of pasture-woodland habitats and is therefore confirmed as a management strategy that balances agronomic demands and nature conservation value. Tree cover is rejected as a criteria to monitor pasture-woodland conservation status, because its relationship to landscape structural diversity and to the cover of forest-grassland ecotones did not hold for changing climate.<br />
<br />
Our results suggest &ldquo;experimental-retrospective&rdquo; analysis as a useful tool to test conclusions from expert knowledge.</p>
1 aPeringer, Alexander1 aGillet, François1 aRosenthal, Gert1 aStoicescu, Ioana1 aPătru-Stupariu, Ileana1 aStupariu, Mihai-Sorin1 aButtler, Alexandre  uhttps://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S030438001630079501250nas a2200217   4500008004100000022001400041245013200055210006900187260001600256300001400272490000700286520052500293100002400818700002300842700002100865700002600886700002000912700002300932700002200955856005500977       2016                        eng d  a0921-297300aMulti-scale feedbacks between tree regeneration traits and herbivore behavior explain the structure of pasture-woodland mosaics0 aMultiscale feedbacks between tree regeneration traits and herbiv  cJan-05-2016  a913 - 9270 v313 a<p>The pasture-woodlands of Central Europe are low-intensity grazing systems in which the structural richness of dynamic forest-grassland mosaics is causal for their high biodiversity. Distinct mosaic patterns in Picea abies- and Fagus sylvatica-dominated pasture-woodlands in the Swiss Jura Mountains suggest a strong influence of tree species regeneration ecology on landscape structural properties. At the landscape scale, however, cause-effect relationships are complicated by habitat selectivity of livestock.</p>
1 aPeringer, Alexander1 aSchulze, Kiowa, A.1 aStupariu, Ileana1 aStupariu, Mihai-Sorin1 aRosenthal, Gert1 aButtler, Alexandre1 aGillet, François  uhttp://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10980-015-0308-z02509nas a2200145   4500008003900000245012100039210006900160300001400229490000700243520199900250100002202249700001502271700002002286856005702306       2014                          d00aImplementation of marine spatial planning in shellfish aquaculture management: modeling studies in a Norwegian fjord0 aImplementation of marine spatial planning in shellfish aquacultu  a832–8430 v243 aShellfish carrying capacity is determined by the interaction of a cultured species
with its ecosystem, which is strongly influenced by hydrodynamics. Water circulation controls
the exchange of matter between farms and the adjacent areas, which in turn establishes the
nutrient supply that supports phytoplankton populations. The complexity of water circulation
makes necessary the use of hydrodynamic models with detailed spatial resolution in carrying
capacity estimations. This detailed spatial resolution also allows for the study of processes that
depend on specific spatial arrangements, e.g., the most suitable location to place farms, which
is crucial for marine spatial planning, and consequently for decision support systems. In the
present study, a fully spatial physical-biogeochemical model has been combined with scenario
building and optimization techniques as a proof of concept of the use of ecosystem modeling
as an objective tool to inform marine spatial planning. The object of this exercise was to
generate objective knowledge based on an ecosystem approach to establish new mussel
aquaculture areas in a Norwegian fjord. Scenario building was used to determine the best
location of a pump that can be used to bring nutrient-rich deep waters to the euphotic layer,
increasing primary production, and consequently, carrying capacity for mussel cultivation. In
addition, an optimization tool, parameter estimation (PEST), was applied to the optimal
location and mussel standing stock biomass that maximize production, according to a
preestablished carrying capacity criterion. Optimization tools allow us to make rational and
transparent decisions to solve a well-defined question, decisions that are essential for policy
makers. The outcomes of combining ecosystem models with scenario building and
optimization facilitate planning based on an ecosystem approach, highlighting the capabilities
of ecosystem modeling as a tool for marine spatial planning.1 aFilgueira, Ramón1 aGrant, Jon1 aStrand, Øivind  uhttp://www.esajournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1890/13-0479.102611nas a2200277   4500008003900000022001400039245008700053210006900140520178500209100001401994700001402008700001202022700001402034700001402048700001502062700001402077700001402091700001602105700001402121700001302135700001602148700002002164700001802184700001602202856011502218       2014                          d  a1091-649000aMultiscale digital Arabidopsis predicts individual organ and whole-organism growth0 aMultiscale digital Arabidopsis predicts individual organ and who3 aUnderstanding how dynamic molecular networks affect whole-organism physiology, analogous to mapping genotype to phenotype, remains a key challenge in biology. Quantitative models that represent processes at multiple scales and link understanding from several research domains can help to tackle this problem. Such integrated models are more common in crop science and ecophysiology than in the research communities that elucidate molecular networks. Several laboratories have modeled particular aspects of growth in Arabidopsis thaliana, but it was unclear whether these existing models could productively be combined. We test this approach by constructing a multiscale model of Arabidopsis rosette growth. Four existing models were integrated with minimal parameter modification (leaf water content and one flowering parameter used measured data). The resulting framework model links genetic regulation and biochemical dynamics to events at the organ and whole-plant levels, helping to understand the combined effects of endogenous and environmental regulators on Arabidopsis growth. The framework model was validated and tested with metabolic, physiological, and biomass data from two laboratories, for five photoperiods, three accessions, and a transgenic line, highlighting the plasticity of plant growth strategies. The model was extended to include stochastic development. Model simulations gave insight into the developmental control of leaf production and provided a quantitative explanation for the pleiotropic developmental phenotype caused by overexpression of miR156, which was an open question. Modular, multiscale models, assembling knowledge from systems biology to ecophysiology, will help to understand and to engineer plant behavior from the genome to the field.1 aChew, Y H1 aWenden, B1 aFlis, A1 aMengin, V1 aTaylor, J1 aDavey, C L1 aTindal, C1 aThomas, H1 aOugham, H J1 aReffye, P1 aStitt, M1 aWilliams, M1 aMuetzelfeldt, R1 aHalliday, K J1 aMillar, A J  uhttp://www.pnas.org/content/early/2014/08/27/1410238111.full.pdf+html?sid=66edb45d-8e99-4d84-a072-a47729a65e1401946nas a2200157   4500008003900000245011100039210006900150300001200219490000600231520143500237100001701672700001301689700001401702700001501716856005701731       2013                          d00aEcosystem modelling for ecosystem-based management of bivalve aquaculture sites in data‑poor environment0 aEcosystem modelling for ecosystembased management of bivalve aqu  a117-1330 v43 aAlthough models of carrying capacity have been around for some time, their use in aquaculture management has been limited. This is partially due to the cost involved in generating and testing the models. However, the use of more generic and flexible models could facilitate the implementation of modelling in management. We have built a generic core for coupling biogeochemical and hydrodynamic models using Simile (www.simulistics.com), a visual simulation environment software that is well-suited to accommodate fully spatial models. Specifically, Simile integrates PEST (model-independent parameter estimation, Watermark Numerical Computing, www.pesthomepage.org), an optimization tool that uses the Gauss-Marquardt-Levenberg algorithm and can be used to estimate the value of a parameter, or set of parameters, in order to minimize the discrepancies between the model results and a dataset chosen by the user. The other critical aspect of modelling exercises is the large amount of data necessary to set up, tune and groundtruth the ecosystem model. However, ecoinformatics and improvements in remote sensing procedures have facilitated acquisition of these datasets, even in data-poor environments. In this paper we describe the required datasets and stages of model development necessary to build a biogeochemical model that can be used as a decision-making tool for bivalve aquaculture management in data-poor environments.1 aFilgueira, R1 aGrant, J1 aStuart, R1 aBrown, M S  uhttp://www.int-res.com/abstracts/aei/v4/n2/p117-133/03363nas a2200445   4500008003900000020001800039245010000057210006900157260001400226300001200240490000600252520204200258653005002300653002902350653002202379653002102401653002502422100001702447700001702464700002102481700001602502700002202518700001702540700001802557700001302575700001702588700001602605700001402621700001602635700001402651700001702665700001602682700001502698700001302713700001702726700001602743700001702759700001402776856012702790       2008                          d  a978008056886700aChapter Seven Integrated Modelling Frameworks for Environmental Assessment and Decision Support0 aChapter Seven Integrated Modelling Frameworks for Environmental   b Elsevier  a101-1180 v33 a<p>In this chapter we investigate the motivation behind the development of modelling frameworks that explicitly target the environmental domain. Despite many commercial and industrial-strength frameworks being available, we claim that there is a definite niche for environmental-specific frameworks. We first introduce a general definition of what is an environmental integrated modelling framework, leading to an outline of the requirements for a generic software architecture for such frameworks. This identifies the need for a knowledge layer to support the modelling layer and an experimentation layer to support the execution of models.</p>
<p>The chapter then focuses on the themes of knowledge representation, model management and model execution. We advocate that appropriate knowledge representation and management tools can facilitate model integration and linking. We stress that a model development process adhering to industry standards and good practices, called &ldquo;model engineering,&rdquo; is to be pursued. We focus on the requirements of the experimental frame, which can ensure transparency and traceability in the execution of simulation scenarios and optimisation problems associated with complex integrated assessment studies.</p>
<p>A promising trend for knowledge representation is the use of ontologies that have the capacity to elicit the meaning of knowledge in a manner that is logical, consistent and understandable by computers and the knowledge worker community. This new path in knowledge-based computing will support retention of institutional knowledge, while putting modelling back in the hands of modellers. Environmental modelling will then become a conceptual activity, focusing on model design rather than model implementation, with code generation being delegated to some degree to ontology-aware tools. In this respect, we envision the whole model lifecycle to change drastically, becoming more of a theoretical activity and less of a coding-intensive, highly engineering-oriented task.</p>10aenvironmental integrated modelling frameworks10aknowledge representation10amodel engineering10amodel management10amodelling frameworks1 aRizzoli, A E1 aLeavesley, G1 aII, Ascough, J C1 aArgent, R M1 aAthanasiadis, I N1 aBrilhante, V1 aClaeys, F H A1 aDavid, O1 aDonatelli, M1 aGijsbers, P1 aHavlik, D1 aKassahun, A1 aKrause, P1 aQuinn, N W T1 aScholten, H1 aSojda, R S1 aVilla, F1 aJakeman, A J1 aVoinov, A A1 aRizzoli, A E1 aChen, S H  u//www.simulistics.com/publications/chapter-seven-integrated-modelling-frameworks-environmental-assessment-and-decision-sup00709nas a2200205   4500008003900000245009900039210006900138100002000207700002500227700002500252700002400277700002600301700001800327700002100345700001800366700002200384700002300406700002000429856005400449       2008                          d00aCONCEPT MAPS FOR COMBINING HARD AND SOFT SYSTEM THINKING IN THE MANAGEMENT OF SOCIO-ECOSYSTEMS0 aCONCEPT MAPS FOR COMBINING HARD AND SOFT SYSTEM THINKING IN THE 1 aSalerno, Franco1 aCuccillato, Emanuele1 aMuetzelfeldt, Robert1 aGiannino, Francesco1 aBajracharya, Birendra1 aCaroli, Paolo1 aViviano, Gaetano1 aStaiano, Anna1 aFabrizio Cartenì1 aMazzoleni, Stefano1 aTartari, Gianni  uhttp://cmc.ihmc.us/cmc2008papers/cmc2008-p190.pdf00567nas a2200133   4500008003900000245013400039210006900173260001200242300001300254490000700267100001600274700001600290856012700306       2006                          d00aCorrigendum to “It was an artefact not the result: A note on systems dynamic” [Environ. Model. Softw. 20 (2005) 1543–1548] 0 aCorrigendum to It was an artefact not the result A note on syste  c05/2006  a756-758 0 v211 aSeppelta, R1 aRichterb, O  u//www.simulistics.com/publications/corrigendum-it-was-artefact-not-result-note-systems-dynamic-environ-model-softw-20-200500961nam a2200145   4500008003900000020001900039245008300058210006900141260001400210520046600224100001900690700001700709700002100726856006800747       2006                          d  a978-184407384900aRealizing Community Futures: A Practical Guide to Harnessing Natural Resources0 aRealizing Community Futures A Practical Guide to Harnessing Natu  bEarthScan3 a<p>Through an easy-to-read narrative style and using real examples from Africa and Asia, this revolutionary book--part argument for the limitless power of human imagination and part practical manual for turning visions into reality--explains how to use a process of participatory modelling&quot; to structure people&rsquo;s learning and understanding of the natural systems they depend upon and how this can lead to better social and environmental outcomes.</p>1 aVanclay, Jerry1 aPrabhu, Ravi1 aSinclair, Fergus  uhttp://www.cifor.cgiar.org/realizingfutures/_ref/home/index.htm02003nas a2200253   4500008003900000245009500039210006900134260001200203300001400215490000700229520119300236653005301429653001501482653001101497653001901508653001501527653002601542653001101568653001101579653001801590100001501608700001501623856011101638       2005                          d00a“It was an artefact not the result”: A note on systems dynamic model development tools0 aIt was an artefact not the result A note on systems dynamic mode  c12/2005  a1543-15480 v203 a<p>Environmental modelling is done more and more by practising ecologists rather than computer scientists or mathematicians. This is because there is a broad spectrum of development tools available that allows graphical coding of complex models of dynamic systems and help to abstract from the mathematical issues of the modelled system and the related numerical problems for estimating solutions. In this contribution, we study how different modelling tools treat a test system, a highly non-linear predator&ndash;prey model, and how the numerical solutions vary. We can show that solutions (a) differ if different development tools are chosen but the same numerical procedure is selected; (b) depend on undocumented implementation details; (c) vary even for the same tool but for different versions; and (d) are generated but with no notifications on numerical problems even if these could be identified. We conclude that improved documentation of numeric methods used in the modelling software is essential to make sure that process based models formulated in terms of these modelling packages do not become &ldquo;black box&rdquo; models due to uncertainty in integration methods.</p>10aLotka-Volterra equation; Predator-prey modelling10aMATEMATICA10aMATLAB10aModel analysis10aMODELMAKER10aNumerical ODE solvers10aSimile10aSTELLA10aStiff systems1 aSeppelt, R1 aRichter, O  u//www.simulistics.com/publications/it-was-artefact-not-result-note-systems-dynamic-model-development-tools